Predictive and scenario analysis
In today’s uncertain world, unexpected shifts can play havoc with plans.
To help your clients cope, our economists create forward-looking analysis that draws on forecasts and alternative scenarios.
We use economic models to predict and develop alternative scenarios of investment trends, consumer demand, industrial patterns, trade flows, and other macro or micro economic conditions. We can provide these forecasts and scenarios on a global, national, or city basis.
Our economists forecast trends and impacts through use of NiGEM, a sophisticated globally integrated model used by European Central Bank, the Bank of England, the IMF, and other leading international organizations. They also build bespoke models geared to the needs of the assignment, drawing on diverse sets of data from public and primary sources.
The shadow economy, sometimes called the informal or underground economy, comprises economic activity that takes place outside of formal channels—generally to avoid governmental scrutiny and taxation—and is not included in the officially calculated gross national product (GNP). It results in significant social, economic, cultural, and political challenges. To better understand the impact of the shadow […]Read More